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DECEMBER 2016 EDITION NO.2 

  INVESTOR INTELLIGENCE  

Welcome to Investor Intelligence, 2020 DIRECTINVEST's newsletter providing you with market information, investment insights and investor education to help you pursue your financial goals.

Market Wrap
 
The year that confounded pundits

2016 was a year that confounded many political pundits and market strategists alike. The outcomes of (and market reactions to) things like Brexit, the Australian Federal election, the US Presidential and Congressional elections and the Italian referendum, all contained to varying degrees a large element of surprise.

The year started with a bucket of cold water being thrown over the "Santa Claus" equity rally of December 2015. The US economy lost momentum in the first half of the year, hurting company profits and prompting the US Federal Reserve to delay its planned interest rate rises. However, the September quarter proved to be a significant turning point - US GDP growth accelerated above 3% and year-on-year corporate profit growth turned positive for the first time in five quarters. 

The secular decline in bond yields ended in July as the market correctly anticipated that the Fed would begin to lift interest rates again, which it did in December.

The US elections in early November delivered a clean-sweep victory for the Republicans and resulted in the US equity market rallying strongly to record highs. President-elect Trump's planned fiscal stimulus should ensure that the US economy continues to grow, but with potentially more upward pressure on wages and inflation as the US economy is already close to full employment.




 Market Update 

 

 A s at 22/12/16

 

World Index

Last   

1 Month

3 Months

6 Months

12 Months

3 Years  

ASX 200

5643.94 4.26% 5.01% 7.08% 10.30%          7.19%

Dow Jones

19918.88 4.70% 8.30% 12.02% 14.36% 22.80%

S&P 500

2260.96 2.63% 3.85% 8.42% 10.89% 24.34%

FTSE

7063.68 3.58% 2.20% 12.82% 16.12% 6.92%

DAX

11456.10 6.93% 7.33% 13.75% 9.22% 21.87%

AUD/USD

0.722 -2.50% -5.57% -3.79% -0.26% -19.12%

Gold

1128.38 -6.92% -15.61% -10.89% 5.22% -6.22%

Nikkei 225

19427.67 6.96% 15.59% 20.93% 2.86% 22.41%

Hang Seng

21636.20 -4.59% -8.94% 4.04%

-0.89%

-5.16%

Apple

116.29 4.02% 1.46% 21.71% 8.45% 48.27%

Facebook

117.40 -3.35% -9.75% 3.06%

11.27%

112.99%

Google

791.26 2.99% 0.51% 13.45%

5.50%

42.08%

Microsoft

63.55 3.98% 9.91% 24.63%

14.81%

72.69%

Bank of America

22.54 11.03% 44.49% 65.61% 31.97% 44.49%

Goldman Sachs

240.12 13.74% 42.91% 62.09% 33.36% 37.09%

Citigroup

60.49 7.83% 28.40% 41.73% 16.30% 15.86%

JP Morgan

86.89 10.65% 28.94% 38.56%

32.29%

50.59%

Lloyds

64.00 7.11% 11.99% -9.28% -10.25% -17.22%

Baidu ADR

162.89 -0.96% -16.66% 0.41%

-17.33%

-6.04%

Alibaba

86.80 -6.88% -20.63% 10.25%

2.31%

27.65%

Tesla Motors

208.45 9.04% 0.98% 6.00% -9.35% 45.52%

Tencent

181.50 -7.30% -15.42% 2.48%

20.36%

95.75%



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